Vivek Ramaswamy, the anti-awakening biotech entrepreneur and asset manager turned Republican presidential hopeful, has a plan to end Russia’s year-and-a-half war against Ukraine, give or take.
The 38-year-old political newcomer will unveil what he describes as a plan to end the brutal conflict by halting US support for Kiev and “negotiating a peace treaty with Russia that achieves a vital US security objective. alliance with China.” “.
In remarks to be delivered Friday in New Hampshire to the Belknap County Republican Party for Lincoln Day, Ramaswamy will say his plan is the mirror-image approach of the late US President Richard Nixon’s effort to break the alliance of the Soviet Union. with the People’s Republic of China, citing what he describes as Russian President Vladimir Putin’s status as “the new Mao”.
the independent obtained a copy of his speech before Friday’s event. He cites a two-decade-old treaty between Russia and the PRC, as well as the “limitless” partnership revealed by Putin and Chinese leader Xi Jinping as evidence that a Sino-Russian alliance “presents the greatest military risk ever for the United States.” Joined”. ever faced” and accuses President Joe Biden of “pushing Russia into a closer military alliance with China, increasing the risk of nuclear war” through his support for US and Western support for Ukraine’s defense.
Although Mr. Ramaswamy’s prepared comments call his solution to the conflict a “peace treaty”, what he presents does not seem to meet the definition of the term.
Peace treaties, in general, represent definitive solutions to armed conflicts. Famous examples include the Treaty of Versailles, which ended World War I, and the 1951 Treaty of San Francisco which formally ended World War II.
Instead, what he proposes is an analogue to the United Nations-imposed armistice that has been in effect on the Korean peninsula since 1953.
Under the terms of his plan, kyiv would legitimize Russia’s occupation of the Donbas region of Ukraine by ceding it to Russia. The United States and the West would end all sanctions against Russia, suspend defense assistance to Ukraine, and NATO would bar Ukraine from becoming a member of the 31-nation defensive pact. The alliance would also reverse troop deployments that have taken place on its eastern border since 2016, including closing all bases on NATO territory in Eastern Europe.
In exchange, he proposes that Russia exit its 2001 treaty with China, end the “no limits” partnership and stop militarily cooperating with Beijing, rejoin the new START arms control treaty, withdraw forces deployed in Latin America and eliminate “all nuclear weapons.” weapons and delivery capabilities” from Belarus, any Ukrainian territory it has annexed, as well as the Baltic Sea enclave of Kaliningrad, which is Russia’s only ice-free port for its Baltic Fleet.
His prepared remarks offer no evidence that Russia is willing to stop cooperating with China or give up its military presence in Kaliningrad, which has been home to a major naval base since the Soviet era. He also does not provide any evidence to back up his claim that Moscow would be willing to cut decades of warm relations with Beijing in exchange for an end to Western sanctions, particularly as the Sino-Russian relationship has been around since the dawn of the 21st century.
Despite multiple credible reports from US officials and other Western governments that Kiev’s defense forces have dealt a major blow to Russia’s conventional warfare capabilities, he plans to say he believes Ukraine “will not defeat Russia militarily” without an “extraordinary intervention” on his part. of the United States, which he claims would diminish the United States’ ability to respond to a Chinese attack on Taiwan.
“Under my peace plan, Ukraine will still emerge with its sovereignty intact and Russia permanently diminished as an enemy. Ukraine’s best path to preserving its own security is to accept a US-brokered deal backed by Russian commitments to the US,” she will say. .
The release of his plan for the Ukraine conflict represents the political neophyte’s first foray into foreign policy waters since he launched his presidential campaign earlier this year.
His opposition to continuing US defense assistance to Kiev is in line with much of the pro-Trump wing of the Republican Party, which tends to view Russia much more favorably than the general US population.
In a press release, the Democratic National Committee condemned the plan for “siding with our ally as Vladimir Putin wages an unjust and violent war in Ukraine” and mocked Ramaswamy as a “MAGA Republican presidential hopeful.”
“Vivek Ramaswamy vows to end US support for Ukraine, which poses a threat to our allies on the ground and to democracy itself,” the DNC said.
The DNC also noted that Ramaswamy’s position is in sync with much of the GOP presidential field, including the top two candidates: Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
Trump, who has long professed an affinity for Putin and has described him in positive terms despite his ordering an unprovoked invasion of another country, praised the war crimes-laden invasion as “smart” and “great” just a few. days after the Russian tanks crossed the Ukrainian border.
DeSantis, who is a distant second to Trump in most polls of the Republican primary, downplayed the war, the largest land conflict on the European continent since 1945, as a “territorial dispute” and a flight over “land borders”. “.
But James Stavridis, a retired four-star US Navy admiral who served as NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander Europe from 2009 to 2013, was much more generous in his reaction to the plan.
Stavridis said the independent in an email that he is “in favor of creative ideas in international diplomacy” and said that he “would love to be able to say that there is a possibility for this type of deal to happen.” But he added that he could not say that there would be such a possibility.
On the one hand, the former NATO commander said that Putin is “so deeply involved in the relationship with China” that there is “zero chance” that he will abandon his partnership with Xi.
He added that, in his opinion, Russia would “never” agree to give up Kaliningrad as a base for nuclear-capable forces, saying there is also no chance Kiev would agree to cede some 20 percent of its territory to Moscow.
“I also don’t think the West is willing to completely walk away from Ukraine and deny them adequate security guarantees, or even NATO membership. The red lines for both sides are significant,” he said.
But Stavridis said he believes a “Korean-style armistice” is the most likely outcome of the 14-month conflict, caveatting that “it’s too early to know where those border lines might be or where the offsets are.” could occur”.
“Our job in the West is obvious, which is to give the Ukrainians everything they need in terms of materiel and training, so that they can be in the best position when negotiations finally start,” he said, adding later that “one thing [he knows] For sure” is that the Ukraine war presents “deeply complex issues with huge competing actions on all sides,” with chances for a simple deal “within 24 hours,” as Trump suggested at a recent CNN town hall “focus[ing] negative infinity”.