Vélez Sarsfield and River Plate meet at the Prem! catch the First division odd series Here, with our Vélez Sarsfield-River Plate prediction, pick and guide on how to watch.
Velez (3-8-5) is having a dismal start in the Argentine Professional League. El Fortin are still trying to find some rhythm in their domestic league, with an eight-game winless streak still active since their 4-0 win against Central Córdoba.
River Plate (13-1-3), meanwhile, are having a phenomenal season, still retaining their place at the top of the league. River Plate have conceded just nine goals in 17 games played, and they will be hoping to build on their two-game unbeaten run.
Here are the Vélez Sarsfield-River Plate football oddscourtesy of FanDuel.
First Division Odds: Velez Sarsfield-River Plate Odds
AC Velez Sarsfield: +300
CA River Plate: -110
Tie: +220
More than 2.5 Goals: +116
Under 2.5 Goals: -164
How to watch Vélez Sarsfield vs. River Plate
Television: TyC Sports International
Broadcast: VIX+, Paramount+, AFA Play, Fanatiz International, Onefootball
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET / 5:30 p.m. PT
*Watch football LIVE with fuboTV (click for a free trial)*
Why Vélez Sarsfield can beat River Plate?
El Fortín is going through a rough patch in the season after failing to win any of their last eight games. With just 17 points in 16 games, this has not been a good start for Vélez in Argentina’s top flight. The Fort aptly sit in the fourth-lowest rank in the league table, scoring just 16 goals and conceding 15 in their 3-8-5 record. Vélez is just ahead of Banfield, Arsenal de Sarandí and Unión on the scale.
Vélez Sarsfield is preparing for this clash after a 0-0 draw in the Superliga against Rosario Central. In that match, Vélez Sarsfield had 47% possession and 13 shots on target with two of them on target. Rosario Central had seven shots on goal with 2 on target. Both teams had just scored under 360 passes. Five Rosario players received yellow cards while Lucas Janson, Abiel Osorio and Diego Godín were the recipients for Vélez’s side.
Fewer than three goals per game have been seen in five of the last six games in which Vélez Sarsfield has been involved. Breaking down the attribution of goals in that period, their rivals scored a total of five, and Vélez Sarsfield added one. Velez should try to break this pattern and should register north of his averages of 9.9 total shots, 13.6 successful dribbles and 4.0 corners per game.
Coach Ricardo Gareca must continue to trust Lucas Janson, who has four goals to lead the team. Elias Cabrera leads the squad with two assists. Walter Bou, Abiel Osorio and Lucas Protto have combined for nine goal appearances. Gianluca Prestianni and Julián Fernández also combined for four goals and assists.
Not available Juan Ignacio Méndez (Peroneal tendon injury), Nicolás Garayalde (Peroneal tendon injury) and Santiago Cáseres (Ankle surgery). Valentín Gómez will also be absent as he is called up to the national team. Vélez should try to improve on his tenth game at the José Amalfitani stadium, where he currently has a 2-6-1 record, scoring 12 goals and acquiring 12 points.
Why River can beat Vélez Sarsfield
River Plate continue to build their reputation as the best club in Argentina as they are currently five points ahead of second placed San Lorenzo. In addition to the national league, Los Millionarios also compete in the Argentine Cup, the Professional League Champions Trophy and the CONMEBOL Libertadores in South America.
In the match prior to this, River Plate drew 1-1 in the Copa Libertadores tie with Sporting Cristal. River Plate had 62% possession of the ball and scored 20 shots in total, six shots on target, seven corner kicks and 82% passing accuracy. However, they were not able to produce several goals, since River Plate’s only scorer was Rodrigo Aliendro (84′). Yoshimar Yotún (63′) scored for Sporting Cristal.
The statistics tell the story, and River Plate have conceded goals in five of their last six matches, with their opponents having scored 10 goals in total. Defensively, River Plate have been far from perfect. This could be due to the many tournaments River Plate has participated in, but back in the league, River Plate have only allowed nine goals in 17 games. They have kept 11 clean sheets and average 15.9 tackles, 8.4 interceptions, 16.1 clearances and 1.9 saves.
On the offensive end, this is where the team shines. He has delivered 29 goals and 16 assists in 17 games played, thanks to averages of 15.9 total shots, 12.8 successful dribbles, 5.8 corner kicks, 5.5 shots on goal and 63.1% ball possession. with 82.8% passing accuracy. Luca Beltrán leads the team with five goals, while Nacho Fernández, Esequiel Barco and Miguel Borja each have four. Milton Casco has four assists to lead the team while Pablo Solari has three. At least 14 players have scored or assisted for River Plate this season.
River Plate’s coach, Martín Demichelis, has some concerns about the current physical condition of the players. David Martínez (patella problem), Emanuel Mammana (knee injury) and Bruno Zuculini (partial cruciate ligament damage) will not be present. Salomon Rondon will also watch the game on the sidelines as he serves his red card suspension. River Plate will keep their focus on scoring goals and maintaining the best away record, where they have a 6-1-2 record, scored 14 goals and have a goal differential of +9.
Prediction and final selection Vélez Sarsfield-River Plate
Vélez will have the opportunity to hit the champions, who have been struggling lately. However, River’s offensive numbers far exceed those of Vélez.
Final prediction and forecast Vélez Sarsfield-River Plate: River Plate (-110), more than 2.5 goals (+116)
