The long, long, long-awaited sci-fi sequel, Avatar: The Path of Water, is currently on its way to succeed at the box office. predictions set Avatar: The Path of Water it will open to around $150 million domestically when it opens in theaters next month, with additional tracking (via Variety) claiming the film could even fetch $175 million more. Clearly, the public is more than ready to return to Pandora.
Avatar: The Path of Water got a big boost earlier this week when it was announced that the sequel had been approved for release in China. For context, a $150 million opening would almost double the opening of the first Avatar in 2009, which managed to gross $77 million before becoming the biggest movie of all time thanks to its $2.7 billion box office.
“Set more than a decade after the events of the first film, Avatar: The Path of Water tells the story of the Sully family, the troubles that haunt them, the efforts they go to to stay safe, the battles they fight to stay alive, and the tragedies they endure.” Avatar: The Path of Water read
The sequel will bring together the likes of Sam Worthington, Zoe Saldana, Stephen Lang, Giovanni Ribisi, Joel David Moore, Dileep Rao, CCH Pounder, Matt Gerald, and Sigourney Weaver, and will add the likes of Kate Winslet, Cliff Curtis, Edie Falco, Brendan Cowell, Michelle Yeoh, Jemaine Clement, Oona Chaplin, Vin Diesel, Jack Champion and CJ Jones
the Avatar The sequel needs to make it big at the box office just to break even
Fortunately the box office predictions for Avatar: The Path of Water they look good, because the sequel needs to be big to be a success. In fact, Avatar: The Path of Water it needs to make it big enough to become one of the biggest movies of all time… just to break even. Director James Cameron recently described the long-awaited Avatar: The Path of Water as “very fucking expensive”, calling the film “The worst business case in movie history”. You have to be the third or fourth highest grossing movie ever. That is your threshold. That’s your balance point.”
Based on these latest figures, it appears Cameron has nothing to worry about. Although the filmmaker has a plan he should Avatar: The Path of Water struggle to find financial success. Aside from money because, despite what the movie studios would have you believe, money isn’t everything, returning star Zoe Saldana has made fun of the ambition inherent in Avatar: The Path of Water. “And I think this is going to be like the culmination of [James Cameron] finally having the opportunity to fully share with us all his passion for water, for the ocean,” he said. She always has. She had it in ‘The Abyss’ and with ‘Titanic’. And I think through the Metkayina tribe and their world, we’re going to be immersed in something we’ve never seen before. And it will also be as innovative as ‘Avatar’ was.”
Avatar: The Path of Water will be released on December 16, 2022. Three other sequels have also been given release dates, with the multiple sequels scheduled to release on December 20, 2024, December 18, 2026, and December 22, 2028, respectively.