Updated at 9:30 a.m. EDT
hurricane count it has steadily strengthened despite hostile upper winds and dry air impacting the system. Interestingly, some tropical systems fight back against the same hostility that hampers the circulation of many tropical storms and hurricanes. In any event, the atmospheric environment is forecast to be conducive for Earl to further strengthen and grow in diameter as it approaches Bermuda late tomorrow through Friday.
The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a tropical storm warning for the island, though Earl is forecast to be at Category 3 strength when close. Current thinking is that the core of the hurricane is likely to pass offshore to the east with gale-force winds about 50 miles away. But even if that happens, they will feel the impact of the storm.
They have a lot of experience with hurricanes in Bermuda and the island is well fortified. They have all day tomorrow to watch Earl’s progress and make sure he stays on track.
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hurricane daniela is the “Energizer Bunny” of North Atlantic hurricanes. It goes on and on, despite its extremely high latitude. There is an unusually warm tongue of water below the storm, which provides its energy. Danielle is setting records for the strongest winds for the longest time in the far north.
The weather pattern that has been trapping her is forecast to break today, and Danielle will quickly run into cold ocean water as she moves further into the North Atlantic. A wet wave from Danielle is forecast to spread into Europe over the weekend.
hurricane kay it is in the Pacific off the coast of Baja California in Mexico. It is forecast to track north near the coast and disappear into cooler waters near the Mexico-California border. A tropical moisture droplet is forecast to continue north into Southern California, bringing desperately needed rain from the desert to the sea and over much of the South.
This scenario is double benefit. There won’t be enough rain to break the decades-long drought, but any rain will help. Clouds and rain will also put an end to the relentless heat wave that has set records for duration. The unusual tropical air mass will remain in place well into next week.
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Tropical Riot #1 it seems likely to become at least a tropical depression, and there’s a good chance it could become a tropical storm, at least briefly. However, it is projected to turn north and follow Earl into the North Atlantic.
Tropical Riot #2 It is worth watching because it is likely to take a more southerly route across the tropical Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center is giving it a slim chance of developing in the next five days, but it just left Africa. We’ll be looking at it for a while.
Our focus for the foreseeable future is on disturbances coming from Africa and the weather pattern across the Atlantic driving storms westward. So far, there has been a large gap in high pressure that has allowed the systems to turn north long before reaching the Bahamas or the US We will be watching to see if that flow structure continues.
FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross has a podcast, Tracking the Tropics with Bryan Norcross, available now at FOX News Audio. You can get it on your device by by clicking here.