Dodgers-Brewers trade for Willy Adames will cost Los Angeles too much

Usually, the Los Angeles Dodgers “get away with it.” In free agency. In business negotiations. You say it. Andrew Friedman is the best in the game and there’s no denying that. But they can’t have it all, and they’re not going to outsmart forward-thinking HQ teams.

The Dodgers can be “interested” in as many players as they want. It doesn’t mean they become Dodgers with a snap of the fingers.

So while MLB.com’s Juan Toribio reported that LA recently had its eyes on a trade for Brewers shortstop Willy Adames is a good idea, it means nothing. For one thing, Milwaukee, a cost-conscious team largely unwilling to part with valuable and controllable assets, is unlikely to move one of its most important pieces.

It’s okay. Let’s just say they were willing to do it. Let’s just say the Dodgers were the top suitors. Do you realize how much potential capital this would cost LA?

Adames, 27, has two more years in the arbitration process and is projected to earn $9.2 million in 2023 (after winning $4.6 million in 2022). That number should be closer to $14 million by 2024, which would essentially be a two-year, $25 million deal for one of the best shortstops in the game over the past two seasons. The Brewers would want an outright HAUL if they even considered this trade scenario.

The Dodgers and Brewers trade for Willy Adames seems highly unrealistic

The high-profile shortstop market over the past two seasons is costing teams a ton of money. The deals ranged from Corey Seager’s $325 million deal to Carlos Correa’s $35.1 million, one-year deal.

This time, the class will feature Correa (again), Trea Turner, Dansby Swanson, and Xander Bogaerts. To estimate for sure, none of those players will make less than $150 million on a long-term deal or $25 million on a short-term deal.

If the Brewers know they’re saving the Dodgers so much money and making their payroll situation much more comfortable for the foreseeable future, there’s no world where LA is dictating a second of these negotiations. The Brewers will say their price and Friedman will have to say yes or no.

The Dodgers were forced to give up their top two prospects for two months of Max Scherzer and 1.5 years of Trea Turner (who cost them $25.5 million in that span). Two full years of Adames will likely require a similar cost in trade talks when all factors are considered (the cost of free-agent shortstops, Adames’ rank among his peers, and the loss a small-market team like Milwaukee would absorb). when moving it). ).

The Dodgers apparently have big plans for several of their top prospects, notably Bobby Miller, Miguel Vargas, Michael Busch, Ryan Pepiot and Gavin Stone. Unless they’re willing to part ways with Diego Cartaya and Andy Pages, don’t expect these Adames rumors to carry any weight. There’s no point getting excited about something that’s so unlikely.



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