Betting tips for this weekend’s English Premier League matches

The football continues this week with Premier League matches and more.

So which teams should you bet on and what are the big stories? Our analysts are here to provide you with all the information you need.

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.

game picks

Crystal Palace at Manchester City

Saturday, 10 a.m. ET

Prediction: Crystal Palace +2.5 goals (-140)

Man City have been excellent this season, even without racking up expected shots and goals like in the past. Instead, City have strangled the life of games with a league-high 70% possession thus far, failing to exceed 2.2 expected goals or 21 shots in any of the first three games. Once ahead, City tend to slow down the game and force opponents to adapt.

Having already faced Liverpool and Arsenal, Palace look like a top-half side, and they backed it up with a dominant win over Aston Villa last week. Palace sit seventh in the league on expected goal difference and are allowing the sixth-worst shots on average this season, and they just don’t stray far. In 46 games under Patrick Vieira, Palace have only lost twice by three or more goals, with Palace posting a draw at home and a 2-0 away win against City last season. I’ll put two and a half goals down to -160. — Paul Carr

Chelsea in Leicester City

Saturday, 10 a.m. ET

Forecast: Both teams score (-110)

Chelsea have scored in 25 of 30 home games under Thomas Tuchel, and Leicester have conceded the most and second most anticipated goals this season, so that part of the BTTS shouldn’t be a problem. The Blues’ defense hasn’t been too good of late, conceding in six of the last seven home games since April and in more than half of the home games under Tuche.

It is true that Leicester’s attack has been poor in three games, with the second fewest shots and expected goals in the league. However, Leicester find a way down the road, and the absence of N’Golo Kante (injured) and Kalidou Koulibaly (suspended) leaves a huge hole in the middle of Chelsea’s defence. This is a bit of a reflex move, as 24 of Leicester’s last 27 away games have seen both teams score. But Chelsea’s defensive problems and a near-money price tag make it worth playing. — Carr

Brentford at Everton

Saturday, 10 a.m. ET

Pick: Brentford win (even)

The Toffees have yet to show anything that makes me think they will overcome the relegation fight this season. He has received third place for the most expected goals so far, while ranking 14th in both expected goals and shot quality. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is yet to return from injury, so the attack won’t be getting a boost any time soon.

Brentford were unlucky not to save a point against Fulham last week but still sit eighth in the league on both points and expected goal difference. Look out for Ivan Toney and company on stage. Since the start of last season, Brentford are fourth in the league with 18 set-piece goals, and Everton have allowed the joint most set-piece goals (22) in the league during that span. Brentford are just a couple of points better than Everton, so I’ll gladly take the money for a home win. Carr


Forecast: Chelsea, Arsenal, City, Liverpool, Real Madrid, Barcelona win

There’s not a lot of value available this weekend when you check out the big boys in action, so we’re going for a six-part parliament.

At odds of +290, you get a nice return on what should be easy wins for those teams.

Barcelona have been off to a slow start this season. He only scored once in the first half. I think the trend may well continue this weekend, so I’m also going to take draw/Barcelona +280. — Daniel Thomas

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