Updated at 9:30 a.m. EDT
tropical storm count it’s sizzling a bit. Its circulation is being injected with dry air by hostile upper winds. The environment is predicted to be much more conducive to Earl getting organized in the coming days. However, Earl is forecast to be a strong hurricane when it approaches Bermuda on Thursday or early Friday.
The exact impacts on Bermuda are unclear, but the island is well within the cone. With Earl forecast to grow in both size and strength, the odds that Bermuda will feel the effects of the storm increase. A tropical storm or hurricane watch is likely to be issued for Bermuda tonight.
Earl’s moisture tail is still over the Virgin Islands and surrounding areas, so tropical downpours are still possible there. They will decrease as Earl moves north.
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After Earl passes Bermuda, it will head out into the North Atlantic and will eventually be absorbed into another northern weather system.
hurricane daniela it is on a slow path toward evolving into a northern-type storm over increasingly cold waters in the North Atlantic. It will merge with another system to the north in a few days. Its moisture will eventually affect Europa.
Tropical Riot #1 it is showing some signs of organization as it moves across the tropical Atlantic. As it moves west, the likely Hurricane Earl will move to the north and east. Earl’s low pressure should provide a path to the north in the central Atlantic, so this disturbance is not expected to be a threat to land.
disturbance #2 it’s still over Africa, but the National Hurricane Center is taking note because it has the potential to develop by the end of the week or early next week once it’s over the tropical ocean.
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Long-range computer forecast models predict that the weather pattern over the Atlantic will evolve next week, making disturbances less likely to turn northward in the mid-ocean. For several weeks now, one or another low pressure system has been occupying the western Atlantic. This has provided a path to the north for the unrest that has occurred. But once Earl is gone, there are signs that the high pressure will spread west in a more normal configuration.
As a general statement, the so-called Bermuda high is the block that prevents disturbances from immediately turning north. So we will pay more attention to the systems that will be presented next week and beyond.
On average, most hurricanes occur in the second half of hurricane season, so we need to be vigilant despite the unusually slow season so far.
FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross has a podcast, Tracking the Tropics with Bryan Norcross, available now at FOX News Audio. You can get it on your device by by clicking here.